BELGRADE, SERBIA, June 27, 2022 /24-7PressRelease/ — “The sultan is back to his old ways,” he says. “Faced with an uncertain presidential election in what was once touted as the culminating event in his legacy as the undisputed leader of the Turkish republic, Erdogan’s path to re-election is strewn with pitfalls. The economic miracle of the first 20 years of his mandate is now only a distant memory. Inflation soared to 73% while the Turkish lira depreciated significantly in a context that saw him directly involved in the replacement of economic experts over dissent on the policy to be adopted in matter of interest rates. In other words, the Sultan owns everything.
Devaley adds that “after ceding control of major cities to the opposition in recent years, Erdogan hopes to stem the tide of discontent by scoring victories in foreign policy. One of its latest moves is the culmination of a series of incursions into northern Syria by Turkish armed forces (2016 Euphrates Shield, 2018 Olive Branch, 2019 Peace Spring and 2020 Spring Shield) . While the first three have enabled Turkey to establish outposts and take control of many key areas deep within Syrian territory and throughout the nearly 900km border area it shares with Syria , the latest move was seen as a setback that forced Turkey to cede control. of the crucial M4 highway to the Syrian Arab Army following a memorable diplomatic evening in Moscow.
In the article, Arnaud Devaley analyzes the relations between the Turkish president and the Iranian Kurdish clan Barzani as well as his position on Kurdistan which he continues to push into the international arena, also linking the new offensive in Syria to the escalation of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict. ongoing conflict that has attracted much more attention from the media and from Western countries.
“To send an obvious and unambiguous message to Ankara, the Russian Aerospace Forces launched a simulation
of a massive bombing campaign using the coordinates of Turkish troops in the area under surveillance, Devaley continues. At the same time, Turkey’s actions in Syria have not provoked an escalation in relations with NATO, the United States and the EU, nor any counter-actions similar to those targeted against Russia in because of military activities in Ukraine.
Center for Geostrategic Studies.
Managing Director: Dragana Trifković
Anastasa Jovanovica 3. Belgrade, Serbia, 11000
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